Marine Predators Meeting 2:

Note: This is our best guess at a reasonable agenda, but it will obviously be modified – probably massively – during the meeting. Still, this should give a sense of what we will be doing, especially for the first day.

Friday 10/13/06

9:00am Convene

9:00-11:00am Review progress on main projects since last meeting; discuss work to conduct during this meeting

11:00-12:00 Meet in small groups to plan afternoon work

12:00-1:00 Lunch

1:00-4:00 Continue work in 2-3 groups on primary projects

4:00-5:00 Everyone meet together to discuss progress, need for additional data, expertise, etc.

Saturday 10/14/06

9:00-11:00am Continue work on 2-3 primary tasks

11:00-12:00 Exchange written products for reading and comment

12:00-1:00 Lunch

1:00-2:00 Discuss progress and what can best be accomplished next during the meeting: continued work on “primary” projects or turning to other work?

3:00-5:00 Individual and group work.

Sunday 10/15/06

Open day for individual and small group work, and/or field trips to take a

break. Botanical Garden, Beaches?

Monday 10/16/06

9:00-11:00am Continue work on 2-3 primary tasks

11:00-12:00 Exchange written products for reading and comment

12:00-1:00 Lunch

1:00-5:00 More work!

Tuesday 10/17/06

9:00-12:00am Discuss:

1) What is close to done, what is far from complete, and what is worth starting?

2) What we can realistically each do before next meeting,

3) Who is taking the lead for pushing each paper/project forward?

4) Additional group members for next meetings?

5) Bringing in the Managers at the next meeting?

12:00-1:00 Lunch

1:00-4:00 Individual and group work as folks leave.

Tasks we prioritized for working on before and during Meeting #2:

1. Data-base Assembly, Modeling Building, and Multiple Analyses of the Kelp Forest and Rocky Intertidal Communities

Tasks and Responsible Parties:

• Design of a database: Tim T. Tim has made this database template, which is downloadable here: ftp://brd1.ucsc.edu/Predators/
• Filling of the database: Tim T, Tim W., Jim E, Eric, Dan D.
• Loop Analysis: Tim W.
• Stability and sensitivity analysis: Mark
• Learning EcoPath/Sim and applying to focal systems: Dan D., Dan M., Tim T.
• Design of flexible dynamic model framework to plug complexities into: Tim T., Dan D., Andy, Tim W.

2. Design and Implementation of a Meta-analysis to Test the Predictive power of Species-level Characteristics on Predator Effects

Tasks and Responsible Parties:

· Initial design of data sheets (information to be scored for each study) and keywords to use to search for studies: Craig, Ben, Fio, Terrie

· Review of scoring procedure and suggestions of papers to include: Everyone

· Hiring of a hapless waif to actually do the work: Ben, Craig, Dan D.

· Assembly of the data so that it can be analyzed at the Fall meeting: Craig and Hapless Waif

· Further work to outline a paper taking off from breakout group thoughts):??

3. Outlining and Writing of Two Review Papers:

Predator impacts on ecosystem services and other non-standard measures of community effects. Andy, Fio, Jim E., Mark

Are Surprises Inevitable? Expanding the Scope of Uncertainties in the Prediction of Community Dynamics Dan D, Jim E, Andy, David, Dan M.