NCEAS Project 11103

Making decisions on complex environmental problems

  • Helen M. Regan
  • Sahotra Sarkar

ActivityDatesFurther Information
Working Group31st January—4th February 2007Participant List  
Working Group3rd—7th December 2007Participant List  
Working Group9th—13th June 2008Participant List  
Working Group15th—19th November 2008Participant List  

Abstract
Environmental scientists must often facilitate complex decision-making based on scientific data but subject to societal and other constraints on management options. Complexity arises from: (i) multiple, often incommensurable, criteria that must be incorporated into decisions; (ii) decisions that must reflect the often conflicting long- and short-term goals of multiple stakeholders; and (iii) decisions that must be made in the presence of risk and uncertainty. The purpose of this project is to characterize scenarios for environmental decision-making and develop a conceptual taxonomy of them; review existing methods for dealing with multiple criteria and objectives, multiple stakeholders, and risk and uncertainty; develop integrated protocols for the use of these methods for complex decision making scenarios in conservation, wildlife management and/or environmental science; develop software tools for some of the methods for which existing tools are inadequate; test protocols and tools against available data sets; and identify areas in which more research is needed.

TypeProducts of NCEAS Research
Journal Article Burgman, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Maguire, Lynn A.; Colyvan, Mark; Justus, James; Martin, Tara G.; Rothley, Kristina. 2014. Voting Systems for Environmental Decisions. Conservation Biology. Vol: 28. Pages 322-332.
Presentations Colyvan, Mark. 2008. Aggregating beliefs: Consensus versus compromise. Society for Risk Analysis Workshop Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 29 September 2008.
Presentations Colyvan, Mark. 2008. Consensus among expert. Society for Risk Analysis Conference at the Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, 30 September 2008.
Presentations Colyvan, Mark. 2009. The conservation game. 10th International Congress of Ecology: Ecology in a Changing Climate, Brisbane, Australia, 20 August 2009.
Presentations Colyvan, Mark. 2009. The natural environment is valuable but not infinitely valuable. International Society for the History, Philosophy and Social Studies of Biology Conference, Brisbane, Australia, 14 July 2009.
Journal Article Colyvan, Mark; Justus, James; Regan, Helen M. 2010. The natural environment is valuable but not infinitely valuable. Vol: 3. Pages 224-228. (Online version)
Journal Article Colyvan, Mark; Justus, James; Regan, Helen M. 2011. The conservation game. Vol: 144. Pages 1246-1253. (Online version)
Journal Article Frank, David M.; Sarkar, Sahotra. 2010. Group decisions in biodiversity conservation: Implications from game theory. PLoS ONE. Vol: 5. Pages e10688-e10688. (Online version)
Presentations Justus, James. 2008. Buying into conservation: intrinsic versus instrumental Value. Faculty Luncheon Series, Florida State University, Tallahassee, November 2008.
Presentations Justus, James. 2008. Buying into conservation: Intrinsic versus instrumental value. Florida State University, HPS Lunchtime Seminar Series, October 2008. Tallahassee.
Journal Article Justus, James; Colyvan, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Maguire, Lynn A. 2009. Buying into conservation: Intrinsic versus instrumental value. Vol: 24(4). Pages 187-191. (Online version)
Journal Article Justus, James; Colyvan, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Maguire, Lynn A. 2009. Response to Sagoff. Vol: 24(12). Pages 644. (Online version)
Journal Article Kuhnert, Petra M.; Martin, Tara G.; Griffiths, Shane P. 2010. A guide to eliciting and using expert knowledge in Bayesian ecological models. Ecology Letters. Vol: 13. Pages 900-914. (Online version)
Journal Article Maguire, Lynn A.; Justus, James. 2008. Why intrinsic value is a poor basis for conservation decisions. BioScience . Vol: 58(10). Pages 910-911.
Book Chapter Regan, Helen M.; Ensbey, M.; Burgman, Mark. 2009. Conservation prioritization and uncertainty in planning inputs. Edited by Moilanen, Atte; Wilson, Kerrie A.; Possingham, Hugh. Spatial Conservation Prioritisation: Quantitative Methods and Computational Tools. Oxford University Press.
Report or White Paper Steele, Katie; Colyvan, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Burgman, Mark. 2008. Survey of group consensus methods. Australian Centre of Excellence in Risk Analysis.