NCEAS Project 12145

Distribution dynamics in changing environments: Geographic trait variation and the potential for future adaptation

  • Lauren B. Buckley

ActivityDatesFurther Information
Postdoctoral Fellow7th November 2007—31st December 2008Participant List  

Mechanistic models that link individual energetics and population dynamics offer improved predictions of species’ distribution dynamics in changing environments. Including population dynamics enables addressing the distribution implications of physiological adaptation (both plastic and evolutionary), species interactions, and dispersal limitations. I propose to first generalize an energetic optimization model across foraging strategies for ectothermic vertebrates. I will then examine current geographic trait variation for North American lizards to understand the potential for adaptation to moderate climate induced range shifts. This analysis will enable using performance optimization models and genetic models of thermal evolution to predict potential thermal adaptation following climate change. The potential for species to respond to changing climates through adaptation will be an important and little understood determinant of the biodiversity implications of environmental change.

TypeProducts of NCEAS Research
Presentations Buckley, Lauren B. 2008. How does an animal's biology determine how its distribution will respond to environmental change?. SACNAS conference, October 2008.
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Jetz, Walter. 2008. Linking global turnover of species and environments. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol: 105(46). Pages 17836-17841.
Presentations Buckley, Lauren B. 2008. Mechanistic distribution models: Incorporating demography and physiology. ESA organized oral session, August 2008.
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Jetz, Walter. 2010. Lizard community structure along environmental gradients. Journal of Animal Ecology. Vol: 79. Pages 358-365. (Online version)
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B. 2010. The range implications of lizard traits in changing environments. Global Ecology and Biogeography. Vol: 19. Pages 452-464. (Online version)
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Kingsolver, Joel G. 2012. Functional and phylogenetic approaches to forecasting species' responses to climate change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. Vol: 43(1). Pages 205-226. (Online version)