NCEAS Project 2025
Predicting extinction: The dynamics of salmon populations at low densities
- Ray Hilborn
| Activity | Dates | Further Information |
|---|---|---|
| Working Group | 16th—18th July 1997 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 13th—15th April 1998 | Participant List |
Abstract
We propose to combine meta-analysis, the analysis of a large number of data sets to determine the probability of different population parameters, with Bayesian risk analysis to provide a methodology for making predictions about extinction and other risks of low density populations. A NCEAS working group would meet twice to apply these methods to a case study of coho salmon in California and Oregon using existing meta-analytic data sets, and to explore the potential for developing similar data sets for other taxonomic groups.
| Type | Products of NCEAS Research |
|---|---|
| Journal Article | Barrowman, Nicolas J.; Myers, Ransom A.; Hilborn, Ray; Field, Chris A. 2003. The variability among populations of coho salmon in the maximum reproductive rate and depensation. Ecological Applications. Vol: 13(3). Pages 784-793. |
| Journal Article | Bradford, Mike; Myers, Ransom A.; Irvine, J. R. 2000. Reference points for coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch) harvest rates and escapement goals based on freshwater production. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. Vol: 57. Pages 677-686. |
| Report or White Paper | Hilborn, Ray. 1998. Report of the first working group on Predicting Extinction. (Online version) |
| Data Set | Hilborn, Ray. 2007. Coho salmon. (Abstract) (Online version) |
| Data Set | Myers, Ransom A. 2007. Coho salmon online data from Myers' stock recruitment database. (Abstract) (Online version) |