NCEAS Project 4860
Setting priorities and making decisions for conservation risk management
- Mark Burgman
| Activity | Dates | Further Information |
|---|---|---|
| Sabbatical Fellow | 1st July 2002—30th June 2003 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 10th—15th November 2002 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 19th—20th February 2003 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 8th—9th March 2003 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 4th—10th May 2003 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 5th—12th June 2003 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 20th—28th March 2004 | Participant List |
Abstract
Risk-based decisions are made routinely in medicine, toxicology, engineering, psychology, insurance and finance. The development of methods in these fields has been rapid but the paths followed and the tools developed have been different. To some extent the differences reflect the kinds of data and the range of problems people need to solve. In part, the differences are because methods have grown in relative isolation. A common problem facing practitioners in conservation biology is to identify priorities that discriminate among a suite of alternative actions. Biologists make decisions on a routine basis, but with little understanding of the techniques for decisions involving risk. The kinds of questions conservation biologists are obliged to answer will benefit substantially from advances in decision analysis and risk assessment made in other disciplines. This project will develop and expand the toolkit for problem solving available to conservation biologists by reviewing risk-based, priority setting methods in different fields, and bringing together people from different disciplines to examine the problems confronting conservation biologists, resulting in new approaches to finding solutions to priority setting and decision making problems.
| Type | Products of NCEAS Research |
|---|---|
| Presentations | Burgman, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2003. Population viability analyses and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory. International Symposium: Sustainable Use and Conservation of Biological Diversity: A Challenge for Society, 1-4 December 2003. Berlin. |
| Presentations | Burgman, Mark. 2004. Dealing with uncertainty and making better decisions for orange-bellied parrots and Sumatran rhinos, 23 June 2004. Sedeh Boker Desert Research Station. Sedeh Boker, Israel. |
| Presentations | Burgman, Mark. 2004. Information-gap decision theory: Applications in conservation biology, 23 October 2004. Department of Agricultural Engineering, Technion. Haifa, Israel. |
| Journal Article | Burgman, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2004. Population viability analysis and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory. Proceedings of the International Symposium for Sustainable Use and Conservation of Biological Diversity: A Challenge for Society. Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Bonn, Germany. Pages 64-65. |
| Presentations | Burgman, Mark. 2004. Robust decisions for species conservation: Satisficing under uncertainty (Keynote Address). World Conference on Natural Resource Modelling, 13 December 2004. Melbourne, Australia. |
| Presentations | Burgman, Mark. 2004. Uncertainty in expert judgments in ecological risk assessments, 3 August 2004. Environment Institute of Australia and New Zealand. Melbourne, Australia. |
| Book | Burgman, Mark. 2005. Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge, UK. |
| Journal Article | Drechsler, Martin; Burgman, Mark. 2004. Combining population viability analysis with decision analysis. Biodiversity and Conservation. Vol: 13. Pages 115-139. |
| Journal Article | Fidler, Fiona; Cumming, Geoff; Burgman, Mark; Thomason, N. 2004. Statistical reform in medicine, psychology and ecology. Journal of Socio-economics. Vol: 33. Pages 615-630. |
| Journal Article | Moilanen, Atte; Runge, Michael; Elith, Jane; Tyre, Andrew; Carmel, Yohay; Fegraus, Eric; Wintle, Brendan; Burgman, Mark; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2006. Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling. Vol: 199. Pages 115-124. |
| Presentations | Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov; Langford, William T.; Wilson, Will G.; Lundberg, Per; Andelman, Sandy J.; Burgman, Mark. 2004. Robustness and risk trade-offs in management decisions for endangered species. Eighteenth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 18 December 2004. Vancouver and Whistler, British Columbia, Canada. |
| Journal Article | Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov; Langford, William T.; Wilson, Will G.; Lundberg, Per; Andelman, Sandy J.; Burgman, Mark. 2005. Robust decision-making under severe uncertainty for conservation management. Ecological Applications. Vol: 15(4). Pages 1471-1477. |
| Presentations | Regan, Helen M. 2005. Robust decision making under uncertainty for environmental management, 20 January 2005. US Environmental Protection Agency. Cincinnati, OH. |