NCEAS Project 4860

Setting priorities and making decisions for conservation risk management

  • Mark Burgman


ActivityDatesFurther Information
Sabbatical Fellow1st July 2002—30th June 2003Participant List  
Working Group10th—15th November 2002Participant List  
Working Group19th—20th February 2003Participant List  
Working Group8th—9th March 2003Participant List  
Working Group4th—10th May 2003Participant List  
Working Group5th—12th June 2003Participant List  
Working Group20th—28th March 2004Participant List  

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Abstract
Risk-based decisions are made routinely in medicine, toxicology, engineering, psychology, insurance and finance. The development of methods in these fields has been rapid but the paths followed and the tools developed have been different. To some extent the differences reflect the kinds of data and the range of problems people need to solve. In part, the differences are because methods have grown in relative isolation. A common problem facing practitioners in conservation biology is to identify priorities that discriminate among a suite of alternative actions. Biologists make decisions on a routine basis, but with little understanding of the techniques for decisions involving risk. The kinds of questions conservation biologists are obliged to answer will benefit substantially from advances in decision analysis and risk assessment made in other disciplines. This project will develop and expand the toolkit for problem solving available to conservation biologists by reviewing risk-based, priority setting methods in different fields, and bringing together people from different disciplines to examine the problems confronting conservation biologists, resulting in new approaches to finding solutions to priority setting and decision making problems.

TypeProducts of NCEAS Research
Presentations Burgman, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2003. Population viability analyses and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory. International Symposium: Sustainable Use and Conservation of Biological Diversity: A Challenge for Society, 1-4 December 2003. Berlin.
Presentations Burgman, Mark. 2004. Dealing with uncertainty and making better decisions for orange-bellied parrots and Sumatran rhinos, 23 June 2004. Sedeh Boker Desert Research Station. Sedeh Boker, Israel.
Presentations Burgman, Mark. 2004. Information-gap decision theory: Applications in conservation biology, 23 October 2004. Department of Agricultural Engineering, Technion. Haifa, Israel.
Journal Article Burgman, Mark; Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2004. Population viability analysis and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory. Proceedings of the International Symposium for Sustainable Use and Conservation of Biological Diversity: A Challenge for Society. Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Bonn, Germany. Pages 64-65.
Presentations Burgman, Mark. 2004. Robust decisions for species conservation: Satisficing under uncertainty (Keynote Address). World Conference on Natural Resource Modelling, 13 December 2004. Melbourne, Australia.
Presentations Burgman, Mark. 2004. Uncertainty in expert judgments in ecological risk assessments, 3 August 2004. Environment Institute of Australia and New Zealand. Melbourne, Australia.
Book Burgman, Mark. 2005. Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge, UK.
Journal Article Drechsler, Martin; Burgman, Mark. 2004. Combining population viability analysis with decision analysis. Biodiversity and Conservation. Vol: 13. Pages 115-139.
Journal Article Fidler, Fiona; Cumming, Geoff; Burgman, Mark; Thomason, N. 2004. Statistical reform in medicine, psychology and ecology. Journal of Socio-economics. Vol: 33. Pages 615-630.
Journal Article Moilanen, Atte; Runge, Michael; Elith, Jane; Tyre, Andrew; Carmel, Yohay; Fegraus, Eric H.; Wintle, Brendan; Burgman, Mark; Ben-Haim, Yakov. 2006. Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling. Vol: 199. Pages 115-124.
Presentations Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov; Langford, William T.; Wilson, Will G.; Lundberg, Per; Andelman, Sandy J.; Burgman, Mark. 2004. Robustness and risk trade-offs in management decisions for endangered species. Eighteenth Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, 18 December 2004. Vancouver and Whistler, British Columbia, Canada.
Journal Article Regan, Helen M.; Ben-Haim, Yakov; Langford, William T.; Wilson, Will G.; Lundberg, Per; Andelman, Sandy J.; Burgman, Mark. 2005. Robust decision-making under severe uncertainty for conservation management. Ecological Applications. Vol: 15(4). Pages 1471-1477.
Presentations Regan, Helen M. 2005. Robust decision making under uncertainty for environmental management, 20 January 2005. US Environmental Protection Agency. Cincinnati, OH.