Mechanistic distribution models: Energetics, fitness, and population dynamics

Principal Investigators:

Lauren B. Buckley, Michael J. Angilletta, Robert D. Holt, and Joshua Tewksbury

Biologists must understand the dynamics of species distributions to address questions about community structure and to predict distributional shifts over space and time (1). Despite recent theoretical progress (2), predictions of species' ranges still rely largely on correlational methods (3, 4). Our working group will achieve a more dynamic and mechanistic understanding of species' distributions by incorporating individual energetics, fitness curves, population dynamics, and evolutionary change. Several distinct, but complementary, mechanistic... more

Participants and Meetings

Working Group Participants
ActivityDatesFurther Information
Working Group13th—17th November 2007Participant List  
Working Group3rd—7th November 2008Participant List  
Working Group23rd—26th May 2011Participant List  

Participant Contact Information

Amy L. Angertangert@mail.colostate.eduUniversity of Arizona
Michael J. Angillettamichael.angilletta@asu.eduIndiana State University
Lauren B. Buckleylbuckley@uw.eduSanta Fe Institute
Lisa Crozierlisa.crozier@noaa.govNOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Sarah Gilmansgilman@jsd.claremont.eduClaremont Colleges
Robert D. Holtrdholt@ufl.eduUniversity of Florida
Timothy H. Keitttkeitt@mail.utexas.eduUniversity of Texas, Austin
Joel G. Kingsolverjgking@bio.unc.eduUniversity of North Carolina, Chapel Hill
Jason Kolbekolbe@berkeley.eduIndiana University
Warren P. Porterwpporter@wisc.eduUniversity of Wisconsin, Madison
Leslie J. of Alabama
Naiara Sardinha-Pintonaiara@mail.utexas.eduUniversity of Texas, Austin
Michael Searsmsears@zoology.siu.eduSouthern Illinois University
Joshua Tewksburyjosh.tewksbury@futureearth.orgUniversity of Washington
Brandon Cooperbcooper4@mymail.indstate.eduIndiana State University
George W. Gilchristgwgilc@wm.eduCollege of William and Mary
Mark C. Urbanmark.urban@uconn.eduUniversity of Connecticut
Curtis Deutschcdeutsch@atmos.ucla.eduUniversity of California, Los Angeles

Products: Publications, Reports, Datasets, Presentations, Visualizations

TypeProducts of NCEAS Research
Journal Article Angert, Amy L.; Crozier, Lisa; Gilman, Sarah; Tewksbury, Joshua; Rissler, Leslie J.; Chunco, Amanda J. 2011. Do species traits predict recent shifts at expanding range edges?. Vol: 14. Pages 677-689. (Online version)
Journal Article Angilletta, Michael J.; Sears, Michael. 2011. Coordinating theoretical and empirical efforts to understand the linkages between organisms and environments. Integrative and Comparative Biology. Vol: 51(5). Pages 653-661. (Online version)
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Urban, Mark C.; Angilletta, Michael J.; Crozier, Lisa; Rissler, Leslie J.; Sears, Michael. 2010. Can mechanism inform species distribution models?. Vol: 13. Pages 1041-1054. (Online version)
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Kingsolver, Joel G. 2012. Functional and phylogenetic approaches to forecasting species' responses to climate change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics. Vol: 43(1). Pages 205-226. (Online version)
Journal Article Buckley, Lauren B.; Tewksbury, Joshua; Deutsch, Curtis. 2013. Can terrestrial ectotherms escape the heat of climate change by moving?. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B-Biological Sciences. Vol: 280(1765). Pages 20131149-20131149. (Online version)
Journal Article Cunningham, Heather; Rissler, Leslie J.; Buckley, Lauren B.; Urban, Mark C. 2016. Abiotic and biotic constraints across reptile and amphibian ranges . Ecography. Vol: 39(1). Pages 1-8. (Online version)
Journal Article Gilman, Sarah; Urban, Mark C.; Tewksbury, Joshua; Gilchrist, George W.; Holt, Robert D. 2010. A framework for community interactions under climate change. Vol: 25(6). Pages 325-331. (Online version)
Journal Article Holt, Robert D. 2009. Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives. Vol: 106. Pages 19659-19665. (Online version)
Journal Article Kearney, Michael R.; Wintle, Brendan; Porter, Warren P. 2010. Correlative and mechanistic models of species distribution provide congruent forecasts under climate change. Vol: 3(3). Pages 203-213. (Online version)
Journal Article Sears, Michael; Raskin, Evan; Angilletta, Michael J. 2011. The world is not flat: Defining relevant thermal landscapes in the context of climate change. Integrative and Comparative Biology. Vol: 51(5). Pages 666-675. (Online version)
Journal Article Urban, Mark C.; Holt, Robert D.; Gilman, Sarah; Tewksbury, Joshua. 2011. Heating up relations between cold fish: competition modifies responses to climate change. Vol: 80. Pages 505-507. (Online version)
Journal Article Urban, Mark C.; Tewksbury, Joshua; Sheldon, Kimberly S. 2012. On a collision course: Competition and dispersal differences create no-analogue communities and cause extinctions during climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. Vol: 279. Pages 2072-2080. (Online version)
"Mechanistic distribution models: Energetics, fitness, and population dynamics" is project ID: 12054