Spatial ecology of infectious disease
Principal Investigators:
Leslie A. Real, and Andrew P. DobsonThe ecology of infectious diseases is receiving increased attention from both public health officials and traditional population biologists. It is clear that the ability to predict and forecast disease outbreaks will require a greater understanding of spatial dynamics and the analysis of spatial patterns of spread. The goal of this Working Group is to analyze large spatial data sets of disease occurrence and spread drawn from natural, agricultural, and public health databases. By comparing the spatial ecology of disease across these different systems... more
The ecology of infectious diseases is receiving increased attention from both public health officials and traditional population biologists. It is clear that the ability to predict and forecast disease outbreaks will require a greater understanding of spatial dynamics and the analysis of spatial patterns of spread. The goal of this Working Group is to analyze large spatial data sets of disease occurrence and spread drawn from natural, agricultural, and public health databases. By comparing the spatial ecology of disease across these different systems we hope to arrive at some basic generalizations about spatially-dependent disease dynamics. collapse
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Additional Info
Participants and Meetings
| Activity | Dates | Further Information |
|---|---|---|
| Graduate Student | 1st September 1999—31st August 2001 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 7th—11th February 2000 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 11th—14th October 2000 | Participant List |
| Postdoctoral Fellow | 5th December 2000—4th December 2001 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 22nd—27th October 2001 | Participant List |
| Working Group | 25th—29th March 2002 | Participant List |
Participant Contact Information
| Brendan Lucey | blucey@emory.edu | Emory University |
| Ottar N. Bjornstad | onb1@psu.edu | University of California, Santa Barbara |
| Jeremy J. Burdon | jeremy.burdon@pi.csiro.au | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) |
| James E. Childs | jameschilds@comcast.net | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
| Andrew P. Dobson | dobber@princeton.edu | Princeton University |
| Gregory E. Glass | geglass@hotmail.com | Johns Hopkins University |
| Kenneth McGwire | kenm@dri.edu | Desert Research Institute |
| James N. Mills | jum0@cdc.gov | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
| Richard S. Ostfeld | rostfeld@ecostudies.org | Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies |
| Mercedes Pascual | pascual@umich.edu | University of Maryland |
| Alison G. Power | agp4@cornell.edu | Cornell University |
| Leslie A. Real | lreal@biology.emory.edu | Emory University |
| David L. Smith | smitdave@mail.nih.gov | University of Maryland, College Park |
| Jonathan Swinton | js229@cam.ac.uk | University of Cambridge |
| Lance Waller | lwaller@sph.emory.edu | Emory University |
| Mark L. Wilson | wilsonml@umich.edu | University of Michigan |
| Brett Goodwin | goodwinB@ecostudies.org | Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies |
| Bryan T. Grenfell | grenfell@princeton.edu | University of Cambridge |
| Drew Harvell | cdh5@cornell.edu | Unknown |
| Andrew S. Hopkins | amh7@cdc.gov | APHL-NCID/CDC |
| Shane A. Richards | s.a.richards@durham.ac.uk | Unknown |
| Kent Wagoner | kew7@cdc.gov | Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
Products: Publications, Reports, Datasets, Presentations, Visualizations
| Type | Products of NCEAS Research |
|---|---|
| Journal Article | Childs, James E.; Curns, A.; Dey, M.; Real, Leslie A.; Feinstein, L.; Bjornstad, Ottar N.; Krebs, J. W. 2000. Predicting the local dynamics of epizootic rabies among raccoons in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol: 97. Pages 13666-13671. |
| Journal Article | Childs, James E.; Curns, A.; Dey, M.; Real, Leslie A.; Rupprecht, Charles; Krebs, J. W. 2001. Rabies epizootics among raccoons vary along a north-south gradient in the eastern United States. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases. Vol: 1. Pages 253-267. |
| Journal Article | Goodwin, Brett; Ostfeld, Richard S.; Schauber, Eric M. 2001. Spatiotemporal variation in a Lyme disease host and vector: Black-legged ticks on white-footed mice. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases. Vol: 1(2). Pages 129-138. |
| Journal Article | Gordon, E. R.; Curns, A.; Krebs, J. W.; Rupprecht, Charles; Real, Leslie A.; Childs, James E. 2004. Temporal dynamics of rabies in a wildlife host and the risk of cross-species transmission. Epidemiology and Infection. Vol: 132. Pages 515-524. |
| Journal Article | Lucey, Brendan; Smith, David L.; Russell, Colin; Wilson, Mark L.; Long, A.; Waller, Lance; Childs, James E.; Real, Leslie A. 2002. Spatiotemporal analysis of epizootic raccoon rabies propagation in Connecticut, 1991-1995. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases. Vol: 2. Pages 77-86. |
| Journal Article | Russell, Colin; Smith, David L.; Waller, Lance; Childs, James E.; Real, Leslie A. 2004. A priori prediction of disease invasion dynamics in a novel environment. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences. Vol: 271(1534). Pages 21-25. (Online version) |
| Journal Article | Smith, David L.; Lucey, Brendan; Waller, Lance; Childs, James E.; Real, Leslie A. 2002. Predicting the spatial dynamics of rabies epidemics on heterogeneous landscapes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Vol: 99. Pages 3668-3672. |
| Journal Article | Waller, Lance; Smith, David L.; Childs, James E.; Real, Leslie A. 2003. Monte Carlo assessments of goodness-of-fit for ecological simulation models. Ecological Modelling. Vol: 164. Pages 49-63. |