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Effects of Climate Change on Plants and Animals
BIODIVERSITY
A collaborative research effort in climate change and biodiversity for the Tropical Andes (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Lee Hannah, Jason Bradford
Coexistence in a changing environment: Evaluating the role of climatic variability in semiarid plant communities Principal Investigator(s): Peter Adler
Determinants of species diversity at varying spatial scales Principal Investigator(s): Gary Mittelbach
Developing an integrated botanical information network to investigate the ecological impacts of global climate change on plant biodiversity Principal Investigator(s): Brian Enquist, Robert Peet, Steven Dolins, Brad Boyle, Richard Condit
Elevational trends in biodiversity: Examining theoretical predictions across taxa Principal Investigator(s): Christy McCain
Scenarios of future biodiversity: Causes, patterns and consequences Principal Investigator(s): Osvaldo Sala, F. Stuart Chapin
The causes of biodiversity and the threats to its persistence Principal Investigator(s): David Tilman
MARINE ECOLOGY
Adaptive capacity of human populations to coral reef fisheries dynamics (Luce Fellows) (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Annie Yau, Lisa Max, James Watson, Sara Hughes, Kristin Carden, Nada Petrovic, Frank Davenport, Felipe Murtinho, Michael Marshall
Can coral reefs survive climate change? Principal Investigator(s): Marissa Baskett
Global impacts of climate change on kelp forest ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): Mark Novak, Jarrett Byrnes, Sean Connell
Linking Physiological Rates and Community Ecology: Effects of Temperature on Food Web Dynamics and Population Connectivity Principal Investigator(s): Mary O'Connor
Predicting community-level responses to disturbance: Implications for reserve design (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Benjamin Halpern
Reefs, food, people - Coral reef fisheries and food security (Luce Fellows) (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Lisa Max
Responses of North Atlantic continental shelf ecosystems to climate variability and change Principal Investigator(s): Charles Greene
Supporting decision making in the Coral Triangle Initiative: Prioritizing socially and economically viable projects and places for biodiversity conservation EBM Principal Investigator(s): Hugh Possingham, Carissa Klein
Synthesizing molecular and ecological datasets to evaluate how diversity in coral endosymbiont communities (symbiodinium) maps onto environmental sensitivity in corals Principal Investigator(s): Ruth Gates
The ecology of marine diseases Principal Investigator(s): Drew Harvell
Towards understanding marine biological impacts of climate change Principal Investigator(s): Anthony Richardson, Elvira Poloczanska
Tropical coral reefs of the future: Modeling ecological outcomes from the analyses of current and historical trends Principal Investigator(s): Peter Edmunds, Ruth Gates
DISEASE RISK
Global change and infectious disease Principal Investigator(s): Mark Wilson, Leslie Real
Quantifying long-term landscape vegetation dynamics in and around Kibale National Park, Uganda, to establish appropriate landscapes for zoonotic disease models Principal Investigator(s): Sadie Ryan
Risk assessment for climate change and forest pathogens in western North America Principal Investigator(s): Susan Frankel, Erica Fleishman
Seasonality and the population dynamics of infectious diseases Principal Investigator(s): Andrew Dobson, Mercedes Pascual
The ecology of marine diseases Principal Investigator(s): Drew Harvell
PHENOLOGY
Forecasting phenology: Integrating ecology, climatology, and phylogeny to understand plant responses to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Benjamin Cook, Elizabeth Wolkovich
Improving our understanding of the ecological controls on the distribution and phenology of C3 and C4 grasses in response to climate variations Principal Investigator(s): Stephanie Pau
Long-term phenological changes in tundra plants in response to experimental warming and observed changes in climate Principal Investigator(s): Steven Oberbauer, Tiffany Troxler
RANGE SHIFTS
Assessing effects of global change by geographical analysis of population-level persistence data Principal Investigator(s): Camille Parmesan
Choosing (and making available) the right environmental layers for modeling how the environment controls the distribution and abundance of organisms Principal Investigator(s): Walter Jetz, Brian McGill, Robert Guralnick, Jana McPherson
Distribution dynamics in changing environments: Geographic trait variation and the potential for future adaptation Principal Investigator(s): Lauren Buckley
Mechanisms of range limitation for Pacific salmon Principal Investigator(s): Nathan Mantua
Mechanistic distribution models: Energetics, fitness, and population dynamics Principal Investigator(s): Robert Holt, Joshua Tewksbury, Lauren Buckley, Michael Angilletta
Monarch butterflies as a model for understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of migratory species and their response to environmental change Principal Investigator(s): Leslie Ries, Sonia Altizer, Karen Oberhauser
The ecological and evolutionary dynamics of species' borders Principal Investigator(s): Robert Holt
Carbon Dynamics and Changing Ecological Processes
ARCTIC ECOSYSTEMS
A circumpolar comparison of tundra response to temperature manipulation: A synthesis of international tundra experiment data Principal Investigator(s): Marilyn Walker, Michael Jones
Arctic boreal processes that feed back to climate: Extrapolation and synthesis Principal Investigator(s): Stuart F. Chapin
Climate warming and fire in a naïve biome: Using insights from boreal forest to understand causes and consequences of fire intensification in arctic tundra Principal Investigator(s): Michelle Mack
Global change and eutrophication: Modeling of arctic lake ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): John W. O'Brien
Long-term phenological changes in tundra plants in response to experimental warming and observed changes in climate Principal Investigator(s): Steven Oberbauer, Tiffany Troxler
FIRE REGIMES
Climate warming and fire in a naïve biome: Using insights from boreal forest to understand causes and consequences of fire intensification in arctic tundra Principal Investigator(s): Michelle Mack
Fire as a Global Ecological Disturbance Principal Investigator(s): Max Moritz
Global change impacts on landscape fires Principal Investigator(s): Sandra Lavorel, Michael Flannigan
Pyrogeography - fire's place in earth system science Principal Investigator(s): David Bowman, Jennifer Balch
Pyrogeography and climate change (co-sponsored with KITP) Principal Investigator(s): Jennifer Balch, David Bowman
Relative influence of fuels, climate, and ignition on fire frequency across earth's ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): Jennifer Balch
FORESTS
Arctic boreal processes that feed back to climate: Extrapolation and synthesis Principal Investigator(s): Stuart F. Chapin
Climate warming and fire in a naïve biome: Using insights from boreal forest to understand causes and consequences of fire intensification in arctic tundra Principal Investigator(s): Michelle Mack
Linking carbon storage in terrestrial ecosystems with other climate forcing agents: A synthesis allowing for effective carbon dioxide stabilization policies Principal Investigator(s): James Randerson, Josep Canadell, Robert Jackson
Quantitative analysis of ecosystem processes in forests and estuaries Principal Investigator(s): Thomas O'Halloran
Revisiting nutrient limitation in tropical forests Principal Investigator(s): Alan Townsend, Cory Cleveland
Synthesizing ecosystem development data in a theoretical framework to understand transitions from nitrogen limitation to colimitation to phosphorus limitation Principal Investigator(s): Duncan Menge
Synthesizing frontiers in modeling drought- and insect-induced tree mortality with climate change Principal Investigator(s): Jeffrey Hicke, Rosie Fisher, William Anderegg
The carbon balance of Eurasia and North America Principal Investigator(s): Elisabeth Holland, Christopher Field, Gundolf Kohlmaier, Mark Harmon
Towards an explicit representation of root distributions in global models Principal Investigator(s): Robert Jackson
FRESHWATER AND WETLAND ECOSYSTEMS
Climate forcing of lacustrine energy fluxes Principal Investigator(s): Piet Verburg
Global change and eutrophication: Modeling of arctic lake ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): John W. O'Brien
Integrating the aquatic with the terrestrial component of the global carbon budget Principal Investigator(s): Carlos Duarte, Yves Prairie, Jonathan Cole
Quantitative analysis of ecosystem processes in forests and estuaries Principal Investigator(s): Thomas O'Halloran
Tidal wetland carbon sequestration and greenhouse gas emissions model Principal Investigator(s): Abe Doherty, John Callaway, Steve Crooks, Pat Megonigal
NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY
An analysis of the age-related decline in aboveground net primary production: Potential causes and stand-to global scale implications Principal Investigator(s): Ross McMurtrie, Stith Gower
Ecosystem Model-Data Intercomparison Working Group on Data - Synthesis, Formats, and Establishment of an EMDI Server Facility Principal Investigator(s): Kathy Hibbard
Global Primary Production Data Initiative Principal Investigator(s): Stephen Prince
Integrating satellite and pollen data with biogeochemical modelling to reconstruct long-term trends in the productivity and carbon sequestration of terrestrial ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): John Williams
Intercomparison of global scale ecological models and field data: EMDI II (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Kathy Hibbard
SOIL AND NUTRIENT CYCLING
A synthesis of soil respiration in semi-arid and arid ecosystems across multiple spatial and temporal scales Principal Investigator(s): Mariah Carbone
Do microbes matter? Using global data to test implicit versus explicit representation of microbial activity in litter decomposition models Principal Investigator(s): Elizabeth Adair
Progressive nitrogen limitation of plant and ecosystem responses to elevated CO2 Principal Investigator(s): Yiqi Luo, Christopher Field
Revisiting nutrient limitation in tropical forests Principal Investigator(s): Alan Townsend, Cory Cleveland
Synthesizing ecosystem development data in a theoretical framework to understand transitions from nitrogen limitation to colimitation to phosphorus limitation Principal Investigator(s): Duncan Menge
PERMAFROST
Permafrost and the global carbon cycle: A research and education synthesis towards understanding terrestrial feedbacks to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Edward Schuur
Vulnerability of carbon in permafrost: Pool size and potential effects on the climate system Principal Investigator(s): Josep Canadell, Christopher Field
Management and Policy Making in the Context of Climate Change
RESERVE DESIGN
Climate, ecosystems, and land-use: Understanding environmental variability in human-dominated landscapes Principal Investigator(s): Chris Pyke
NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
A synthetic approach to the science of ecosystem-based management of coastal marine ecosystems (EBM) Principal Investigator(s): Fiorenza Micheli, Andrew Rosenberg
Can coral reefs survive climate change? Principal Investigator(s): Marissa Baskett
Other Projects Related to the Ecological Effects of Climate Change
A dynamic integrated model of land use, carbon flows and carbon sequestration supply in Costa Rica Principal Investigator(s): Suzi Kerr, Alexander Pfaff
A Knowledge Network for Biocomplexity: Building and evaluating a metadata-based framework for integrating heterogeneous scientific data (Hosted by NCEAS) Principal Investigator(s): Michael Willig, James Brunt, John Helly, Matthew Jones, O. Reichman
A supply function for carbon sequestration: Multi-disciplinary estimation and integrated sensitivity analysis Principal Investigator(s): Alexander Pfaff
Analysis, synthesis, and integration of temperature manipulation research Principal Investigator(s): Giles Marion, Lindsey Rustad
Assessing sensitivity of salmon species to river modifications and climate change Principal Investigator(s): Christine Petersen
Assessment of the sensitivity of wild Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Alisa Wade
Benchmarking ecosystem response models with experimental data from long-term CO2 enrichment experiments Principal Investigator(s): Ram Oren, Yiqi Luo, Colin I. Prentice, Richard Norby, Paul Hanson
Climate change and invasive species: Are non-natives poised for greater success in future climatic conditions? Principal Investigator(s): Cascade Sorte, Jeffrey Dukes, Joshua Lawler
Climate-ecological interactions: Individual, population and community connections Principal Investigator(s): Warren Porter
Climatic and Habitat Inference from Features of Mammalian Paleocommunities Principal Investigator(s): John Damuth
Collaborative:Holistic integration for arctic coastal-marine sustainability (HIACMS) Principal Investigator(s): Paul Berkman, Frank Davis, Jean Claude Gascard, Christine Provost, Oran Young
Dynamics of large mammalian herbivores in changing environments: Alternative modeling approaches Principal Investigator(s): N. Hobbs, Andrew Illius, Per Lundberg, Norman Owen-Smith
Ecosystem services on an urbanizing planet: What 2 billion new urbanites means for air and water Principal Investigator(s): Peter Marcotullio, Robert McDonald
Evolutionary and plastic responses of Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Daniel Schindler, Robin Waples
Facilitation and competition on alpine elevation gradients: A global experiment on the organization of plant communities Principal Investigator(s): Christopher Lortie, Ragan Callaway, Robin Brooker, Richard Michalet
Global Change and Terrestrial Ecosystems: A Synthesis Principal Investigator(s): Will Steffen
Human impacts of water infrastructure on watershed ecosystems and the sustainability of irrigated agriculture in the coterminous US Principal Investigator(s): Gerrit Schoups, John Sabo, Laura Bowling
Intercomparison of global scale ecological models and field data: EMDI III Principal Investigator(s): Kathy Hibbard
Investigating responses of riverine habitats and Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Luis Francisco Madrinan
Lake Baikal responses to global change (NSF Dimensions of Biodiversity) Principal Investigator(s): Stephanie Hampton
Linking landscape ecology and population genetics using algorithms from circuit theory Principal Investigator(s): Brad McRae
Long term plankton community dynamics in the face of climate change Principal Investigator(s): Elizabeth Wolkovich
Monitoring responses of Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Randall Peterman
Paleoecology of North American mammals: Large-scale patterns and processes Principal Investigator(s): John Alroy
PrecipNet: Analysis and synthesis of precipitation and ecosystem change Principal Investigator(s): Michael Loik
Prediction of responses of wild Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Erica Fleishman
Putting physiology on a landscape scale Principal Investigator(s): Warren Porter
Resilience of Pacific salmon to climate change Principal Investigator(s): Timothy Beechie, Mary Ruckelshaus
Steering committee, wild salmon ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): Erica Fleishman
Synthesizing theory and databases to advance a general framework for how warming affects trophic interactions Principal Investigator(s): Hamish Greig, Mary O'Connor
Temporal and spatial dimensions of mammalian community structure: Pattern and process Principal Investigator(s): Kathleen Lyons
The 60-year data set of plankton dynamics in Lake Baikal: Examining facets of the jewel of Siberia Principal Investigator(s): Stephanie Hampton, Marianne Moore, Evgeny Zilov
Toward an adequate quantification of CH4 emissions from land ecosystems: Integrating field and in-situ observations, satellite data, and modeling Principal Investigator(s): Qianlai Zhuang, A. David McGuire, Jerry Melillo, Ronald Prinn
Urban ecology, social inequality, and climate: Building an integrative framework at the neighborhood scale Principal Investigator(s): Sharon Harlan
Wild salmon ecosystems Principal Investigator(s): Erica Fleishman
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