Here is a selection of Mick's recent publications...

Please email Mick if you would like a reprint sent to you.

Baxter, P.W.J., McCarthy, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Menkhorst, P.W., and McLean, N. (in press). Accounting for management costs in sensitivity analyses of matrix population models. Conservation Biology.

Lindenmayer D.B., and McCarthy M.A. (in press). Evaluation of PVA models of arboreal marsupials: coupling models with long-term monitoring data. Biodiversity and Conservation.

McCarthy M.A., Thompson C.J., and Williams, N.S.G. (in press). Logic for designing nature reserves for multiple species. American Naturalist.

Shukuroglou, P., and McCarthy, M.A. (in press). Modelling the occurrence of rainbow lorikeets (Trichoglossus haematodus) in Melbourne. Austral Ecology.

Wintle, B.A., Burgman, M.A., McCarthy, M.A., and Kavanagh, R.P. (in press). The magnitude and management consequences of false negative observation error in surveys of arboreal marsupials and large forest owls. Journal of Wildlife Management.

Halpern, B.S., Regan, H., Possingham, H.P., and McCarthy, M.A. (2006). Accounting for uncertainty in marine reserve design. Ecology Letters 9: 2-11.

Halpern, B.S., Regan, H.M., Possingham, H.P., and McCarthy, M.A. (2006). Rejoinder: uncertainty and decision making. Ecology Letters 9: 13-14.

Gerber, L.R., Beger, M., McCarthy, M.A., and Possingham, H.P. (2005). A theory for optimal monitoring of marine reserves. Ecology Letters 8: 829-837.

Harper, M.J., McCarthy, M.A., and van der Ree, R. (2005). The abundance of hollow-bearing trees in urban dry sclerophyll forest and the effect of wind on hollow development. Biological Conservation 122: 181-192.

Harper, M.J., McCarthy, M.A., and van der Ree, R. (2005). The use of nest boxes in urban natural vegetation remnants by vertebrate fauna. Wildlife Research 32: 509-516.

McCarthy, M.A., and Masters, P. (2005). Profiting from prior information in Bayesian analyses of ecological data. Journal of Applied Ecology 42: 1012-1019.

McCarthy M.A., Thompson C.J., and Possingham H.P. (2005). Theory for designing nature reserves for single species. American Naturalist 165: 250-257.

Regan, T.R., Burgman, M.A., McCarthy, M.A., Master, L.L., Keith, D.A., Mace, G.M., and Andelman, S.J. (2005). The consistency of extinction risk classification protocols. Conservation Biology 19: 1967-1977.

van der Ree, R., and McCarthy, M.A. (2005). Inferring the persistence of indigenous mammals in response to urbanisation. Animal Conservation 8: 309-319.

Williams, N.S.G., Morgan , J.W., McDonnell1, M.J., and McCarthy, M.A. (2005). Plant traits and local extinctions in natural grasslands along an urban-rural gradient. Journal of Ecology 93: 1203-1213.

Fox, J.C., Mesibov, R., McCarthy, M.A., and Burgman, M.A. (2004). Giant Velvet Worm Tasmanipatus barretti (Onychophora) in Tasmania, Australia. In (eds H.R. Akcakaya, M.A. Burgman, O. Kindvall, C.C. Wood, P. Sjogren-Gulve, J. Hatfield and M.A. McCarthy) Species Conservation and Management. pp. 150-161. Oxford University Press, New York.

Harper, M.J., McCarthy, M.A., van der Ree, R., and Fox, J.C. (2004). Overcoming bias in ground-based surveys of hollow-bearing trees using double sampling. Forest Ecology and Management 190:291-300.

Keith, D.A., McCarthy, M.A. Regan, H., Regan, T., Bowles, C., Drill, C., Craig, C., Pellow, B., Burgman, M.A., Master, L.L., Ruckelshaus, M., Mackenzie, B., Andelman, S.J., and Wade, P.R. (2004). Protocols for listing threatened species can forecast extinction. Ecology Letters 7:1101-1108

McCarthy, M.A. (2004). Mammal population viability modeling: an overview. In (eds H.R. Akcakaya, M.A. Burgman, O. Kindvall, C.C. Wood, P. Sjogren-Gulve, J. Hatfield and M.A. McCarthy) Species Conservation and Management. pp. 433-437. Oxford University Press, New York.

McCarthy, M.A., Menkhorst, P.W., Quin, B.R., Smales, I.J., and Burgman, M.A. (2004). Helmeted honeyeater (Lichenostomus melanops cassidix) in southern Australia: assessing options for establishing a new wild population. In (eds H.R. Akcakaya, M.A. Burgman, O. Kindvall, C.C. Wood, P. Sjogren-Gulve, J. Hatfield and M.A. McCarthy) Species Conservation and Management. pp. 410-420. Oxford University Press, New York.

McCarthy, M.A., Keith, D., Tietjen, J., Burgman, M.A., Maunder, M., Master, L., Brook, B.W., Mace, G., Possingham, H.P., Medellin, R., Andelman, S., Regan, H., Regan, T., and Ruckelshaus, M. (2004). Comparing predictions of extinction risk using models and subjective judgement. Acta Oecologica 26:67-74.

McCarthy, M.A., Parris, K.M., van der Ree, R., McDonnell, M.J., Burgman, M.A., Williams, N.S.G., McLean, N., Harper, M., Meyer, R., Hahs A., and Coates, T. (2004). The habitat hectares approach to vegetation assessment: an evaluation and suggestions for improvement. Ecological Management and Restoration 5:24-27.

McCarthy, M.A., and Parris, K.M. (2004). Clarifying the effect of toe clipping on frogs with Bayesian statistics. Journal of Applied Ecology 41:780-786.

Wintle, B.A., McCarthy, M.A., Parris, K.M., and Burgman, M.A. (2004) Precision and bias of methods for estimating point survey detection probabilities. Ecological Applications 14:703-712.

Lindenmayer, D.B., Possingham, H.P., Lacy, R.C., McCarthy, M.A., and Pope, M. L. (2003). How accurate are population models? Lessons from landscape-scale tests in a fragmented system. Ecology Letters 6:41-47.

McCarthy, M.A., Andelman, S. A., and Possingham, H.P. (2003). Reliability of relative predictions in population viability analysis. Conservation Biology 17:982-989.

Wintle, B.A., McCarthy, M.A., Volinsky, C.T., and Kavanagh, R.P. (2003) The use of Bayesian Model Averaging to better represent uncertainty in ecological models. Conservation Biology 17:1579-1590.

Yamada, K., Elith, J., McCarthy, M., and Zerger, A. (2003). Eliciting and integrating expert knowledge for wildlife habitat modelling. Ecological Modelling 165:251264.

Lindenmayer, D.B., Manning, A.D., Smith, P.L., Possingham, H.P., Fischer, J., Oliver, I., and McCarthy, M.A. (2002). The focal-species approach and landscape restoration: a critique. Conservation Biology 16:338-345.

Lindenmayer, D.B., and McCarthy, M.A. (2002). Congruence between natural and human forest disturbance: a case study from Australian montane ash forests. Forest Ecology and Management 155:319-335.

McCarthy, M.A., and Cary, G.J. (2002). Fire regimes in landscapes: models and realities. In (eds R.A. Bradstock, J.E. Williams and A.M. Gill) Flammable Australia: the Fire Regimes and Biodiversity of a Continent. pp. 76-93. Cambridge University Press.

McKenney, D.W., Venier, L.A., Heerdegen, A., McCarthy, M.A. (2002). A Monte Carlo experiment for species mapping problems. In (eds J.M. Scott, P.J. Heglund, M.L. Morrison, J.B. Haufler, M.G. Raphael, W.A. Wall, F.B. Samson) Predicting Species Occurrences: Issues of Scale and Accuracy. pp. 377-381. Island Press, Covelo, California.

Burgman, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Keith, D., Lynch, J.J., McCarthy, M.A., Hopper, S.D., Drury, W.L., Passioura, J.A., and Devries, R.J. (2001). A method for setting the size of plant conservation target areas. Conservation Biology 15:603-616.

Lindenmayer, D.B., and McCarthy, M.A. (2001). The spatial distribution of non-native plant invaders in a pine-eucalypt landscape mosaic in south-eastern Australia. Biological Conservation 102:77-87.

Lindenmayer, D.B., McCarthy, M.A., Possingham, H.P., and Legge, S. (2001). A simple landscape-scale test of a spatially explicit population model: patch occupancy in fragmented south-eastern Australian forests. Oikos 92:445-458.

McCarthy, M.A., and Thompson, C. (2001). Expected minimum population size as a measure of threat. Animal Conservation 4:351-355. [PDF Pre-Print]

McCarthy, M.A., Gill, A.M., and Bradstock R.A. (2001). Theoretical fire interval distributions. International Journal of Wildland Fire 10:73-77.

McCarthy, M.A., Lindenmayer, D.B., and Possingham, H.P. (2001). Assessing spatial PVA models of arboreal marsupials using significance tests and Bayesian statistics. Biological Conservation 98:191-200.

McCarthy, M.A., Possingham, H.P., and Gill, A.M. (2001). Using stochastic dynamic programming to determine optimal fire management for Banksia ornata. Journal of Applied Ecology 38:585-592.

McCarthy, M.A., Possingham, H.P., Day, J.R., and Tyre, A.J. (2001). Testing the accuracy of population viability analysis. Conservation Biology 15:1030-1038.

Parris, K.M., and McCarthy, M.A. (2001). Identifying effects of toe-clipping on anuran return rates: the importance of statistical power. Amphibia Reptilia 22:275-289.

Possingham, H.P., Lindenmayer, D.B., and McCarthy, M.A. (2001). Population viability analysis. In (Ed. S.A. Levin) Encyclopedia of Biodiversity. Academic Press, San Diego, pp. 831-843.

McCarthy, M.A., and Broome, L.S. (2000). A method for validating stochastic models of population viability: a case study of the mountain pygmy-possum (Burramys parvus). Journal of Animal Ecology 69:599-607. [Abstract | PDF Pre-Print]

McCarthy, M.A., and Lindenmayer, D.B. (2000). Spatially-correlated extinction in a metapopulation model of Leadbeater's possum. Biodiversity and Conservation 9:47-63. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A., Lindenmayer, D.B., and Possingham, H.P. (2000). Testing spatial PVA models of Australian treecreepers (Aves: Climacteridae) in fragmented forest. Ecological Applications 10:1722-1731. [Abstract | PDF Pre-Print]

Lindenmayer, D.B., McCarthy, M.A., and Pope, M.L. (1999). Arboreal marsupial incidence in eucalypt patches in south-eastern Australia: a test of Hanski's incidence function metapopulation model for patch occupancy. Oikos 84:99-109. [Abstract]

Lindenmayer, D.B., Cunningham, R.B., and McCarthy, M.A. (1999). The conservation of arboreal marsupials in the montane ash forests of the Central Highlands of Victoria, south-eastern Australia. VIII. Landscape analysis of the occurrence of arboreal marsupials. Biological Conservation 89:83-92. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A. (1999). Effects of competition on natal dispersal distance. Ecological Modelling 114:305-310. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A., and Lindenmayer, D.B. (1999). Conservation of the greater glider (Petauroides volans) in remnant vegetation within exotic plantation forest. Animal Conservation 2:203-209. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A., and Lindenmayer, D.B. (1999). Incorporating metapopulation dynamics of greater gliders into reserve design in disturbed landscapes. Ecology 80:651-667. [Abstract]

Parris, K.M., and McCarthy, M.A. (1999). What influences the structure of frog assemblages at forest streams? Australian Journal of Ecology 24:495-502. [Abstract].

Gill, A.M., and McCarthy, M.A. (1998). Intervals between prescribed fires in Australia: what intrinsic variation should apply? Biological Conservation 85:161-169. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A. (1998). Identifying declining and threatened species with museum data. Biological Conservation 83:9-17. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A., and Lindenmayer, D.B. (1998). Multi-aged mountain ash forest, wildlife conservation and timber harvesting. Forest Ecology and Management 104:43-56. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A. (1997). The Allee effect, finding mates and theoretical models. Ecological Modelling 103:99-102.

McCarthy, M.A. (1997). Competition and dispersal from multiple nests. Ecology 78:873-883. [Abstract]

McCarthy, M.A., and Gill, A.M. (1997). Fire modelling and biodiversity. In Frontiers in Ecology (N. Klomp & I. Lunt, Eds), Elsevier Science, Oxford, pp. 79-88. [Paper]

McCarthy, M.A., and Lindenmayer, D.B. (1997). Correlated extinction in a Leadbeater's possum metapopulation. Ecological Society of America Meeting, Albuquerque, New Mexico, U.S.A. [Poster]

McCarthy, M.A., Lindenmayer, D.B., and Drechsler, M. (1997). Extinction debts and risks faced by abundant species. Conservation Biology 11:221-226.

McCarthy, M.A. (1996). Extinction dynamics of the helmeted honeyeater: effects of demography, stochasticity, inbreeding and spatial structure. Ecological Modelling 85:151-163.

McCarthy, M.A. (1996). Red kangaroo (Macropus rufus) dynamics: effects of rainfall, harvesting, density dependence and environmental stochasticity. Journal of Applied Ecology 33:45-53.

McCarthy, M.A., Burgman, M.A., and Ferson, S. (1996). Logistic sensitivity and bounds on extinction risks. Ecological Modelling 86:297-303.

McCarthy, M.A., and Burgman, M.A. (1995). Coping with uncertainty in forest wildlife planning. Forest Ecology and Management 74:23-36.

McCarthy, M.A., Burgman, M.A., and Ferson, S. (1995). Sensitivity analysis for models of population viability. Biological Conservation 73:93-100.

Northern Elephant Seals, San Simeon, California

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Last updated 6 January 2006