NCEAS Working Groups
The Evidence Project: Supporting scientific claims
Project Description
Scientists strive to understand the operation of natural processes. To this end, they collect data both experimental and observational. The objective and quantitative interpretation of data as evidence for one hypothesis over another hypothesis is an integral part of the scientific process. None of the existing schools of statistical inference fully addresses the needs of working scientists. Scientists are forced to twist their thinking to pigeon hole their analyses into existing paradigms. We believe that a revision of statistical theory is in order, reflecting the needs of practicing ecologists. Through a dialog amongst working scientists, statisticians and philosophers this working group will seek to construct a new statistical approach focused on the quantification of evidence, which will supplement traditional paradigms. We will hone and demonstrate our approach through applications to difficult problems of ecological data analysis.
Principal Investigator(s)
Mark L. Taper, Subhash R. Lele, Nicholas J. I. Lewin-Koh
Project Dates
Start: February 27, 1999
End: May 29, 2001
completed
Participants
- Jeffrey D. Blume
- Johns Hopkins University
- James H. Brown
- University of New Mexico
- Ted Case
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- George Casella
- Cornell University
- Brian Dennis
- University of Idaho
- S. K. Morgan Ernest
- University of New Mexico
- Daniel Fink
- Cornell University
- Thomas M. Frost
- National Science Foundation
- V. P. Godambe
- University of Waterloo
- Daniel Goodman
- Montana State University
- Suzanne Henson Alonzo
- University of California, Santa Cruz
- David Hinkley
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- Michael Kruse
- Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
- Subhash R. Lele
- University of Alberta
- Nicholas J. I. Lewin-Koh
- Iowa State University
- Bruce G. Lindsay
- Pennsylvania State University
- Barney Luttbeg
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- Marc Mangel
- University of California, Santa Cruz
- Brian A. Maurer
- Brigham Young University
- Charles E. McCulloch
- Cornell University
- Jean Miller
- Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
- Manuel Molles
- University of New Mexico
- Calyampudi R. Rao
- Pennsylvania State University
- Richard Royall
- Johns Hopkins University
- Mark L. Taper
- Montana State University
- Mary C. Towner
- Unknown
Products
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Journal Article / 2001
State-dependent mate-assessment and mate-selection behavior in female threespine sticklebacks (Gasterosteus aculeatus, Gasterosteiformes : Gasterosteidae)
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Presentations / 2001
The relative likelihood of alternative decision-making rules
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Journal Article / 2002
Assessing the robustness and optimality of alternative decision rules with varying assumptions
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Presentations / 2002
The relative performances of alternative decision rules depend on assumptions about time, options, and imperfect information
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Journal Article / 2004
Comparing alternative models to empirical data: Cognitive models of western scrub-jay foraging behavior
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Journal Article / 2004
Female mate assessment and choice behavior affect the frequency of alternative male mating tactics
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Book / 2004
The Nature of Scientific Evidence: Statistical Philosophical, and Empirical Considerations
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Journal Article / 1999
A dynamic model of human dispersal in a land-based economy
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Journal Article / 2001
Linking dispersal and resources in humans. Life history data from Oakham, Massachusetts (1750-1850)
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Journal Article / 2002
Linking dispersal and marriage in humans - Life history data from Oakham, Massachusetts, USA (1750-1850)