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National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

Project Description

Scientists strive to understand the operation of natural processes. To this end, they collect data both experimental and observational. The objective and quantitative interpretation of data as evidence for one hypothesis over another hypothesis is an integral part of the scientific process. None of the existing schools of statistical inference fully addresses the needs of working scientists. Scientists are forced to twist their thinking to pigeon hole their analyses into existing paradigms. We believe that a revision of statistical theory is in order, reflecting the needs of practicing ecologists. Through a dialog amongst working scientists, statisticians and philosophers this working group will seek to construct a new statistical approach focused on the quantification of evidence, which will supplement traditional paradigms. We will hone and demonstrate our approach through applications to difficult problems of ecological data analysis.

Principal Investigator(s)

Mark L. Taper, Subhash R. Lele, Nicholas J. I. Lewin-Koh

Project Dates

Start: February 27, 1999

End: May 29, 2001

completed

Participants

Jeffrey D. Blume
Johns Hopkins University
James H. Brown
University of New Mexico
Ted Case
University of California, Santa Barbara
George Casella
Cornell University
Brian Dennis
University of Idaho
S. K. Morgan Ernest
University of New Mexico
Daniel Fink
Cornell University
Thomas M. Frost
National Science Foundation
V. P. Godambe
University of Waterloo
Daniel Goodman
Montana State University
Suzanne Henson Alonzo
University of California, Santa Cruz
David Hinkley
University of California, Santa Barbara
Michael Kruse
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Subhash R. Lele
University of Alberta
Nicholas J. I. Lewin-Koh
Iowa State University
Bruce G. Lindsay
Pennsylvania State University
Barney Luttbeg
University of California, Santa Barbara
Marc Mangel
University of California, Santa Cruz
Brian A. Maurer
Brigham Young University
Charles E. McCulloch
Cornell University
Jean Miller
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Manuel Molles
University of New Mexico
Calyampudi R. Rao
Pennsylvania State University
Richard Royall
Johns Hopkins University
Mark L. Taper
Montana State University
Mary C. Towner
Unknown

Products

  1. Journal Article / 2001

    State-dependent mate-assessment and mate-selection behavior in female threespine sticklebacks (Gasterosteus aculeatus, Gasterosteiformes : Gasterosteidae)

  2. Presentations / 2001

    The relative likelihood of alternative decision-making rules

  3. Journal Article / 2002

    Assessing the robustness and optimality of alternative decision rules with varying assumptions

  4. Presentations / 2002

    The relative performances of alternative decision rules depend on assumptions about time, options, and imperfect information

  5. Journal Article / 2004

    Comparing alternative models to empirical data: Cognitive models of western scrub-jay foraging behavior

  6. Journal Article / 2004

    Female mate assessment and choice behavior affect the frequency of alternative male mating tactics

  7. Book / 2004

    The Nature of Scientific Evidence: Statistical Philosophical, and Empirical Considerations

  8. Journal Article / 1999

    A dynamic model of human dispersal in a land-based economy

  9. Journal Article / 2001

    Linking dispersal and resources in humans. Life history data from Oakham, Massachusetts (1750-1850)

  10. Journal Article / 2002

    Linking dispersal and marriage in humans - Life history data from Oakham, Massachusetts, USA (1750-1850)

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