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National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

Project Description

Risk-based decisions are made routinely in medicine, toxicology, engineering, psychology, insurance and finance. The development of methods in these fields has been rapid but the paths followed and the tools developed have been different. To some extent the differences reflect the kinds of data and the range of problems people need to solve. In part, the differences are because methods have grown in relative isolation. A common problem facing practitioners in conservation biology is to identify priorities that discriminate among a suite of alternative actions. Biologists make decisions on a routine basis, but with little understanding of the techniques for decisions involving risk. The kinds of questions conservation biologists are obliged to answer will benefit substantially from advances in decision analysis and risk assessment made in other disciplines. This project will develop and expand the toolkit for problem solving available to conservation biologists by reviewing risk-based, priority setting methods in different fields, and bringing together people from different disciplines to examine the problems confronting conservation biologists, resulting in new approaches to finding solutions to priority setting and decision making problems.

Working Group Participants

Principal Investigator(s)

Mark Burgman

Project Dates

completed

Participants

Sandy J. Andelman
University of California, Santa Barbara
Yakov Ben-Haim
Georgia Institute of Technology
Mark Burgman
University of California, Santa Barbara
Yohay Carmel
Technion - Israel Institute of Technology
Christopher Costello
University of California, Santa Barbara
Geoff Cumming
La Trobe University
Jane Elith
University of Melbourne
Eric H. Fegraus
University of California, Santa Barbara
Scott Ferson
Applied Biomathematics
Fiona Fidler
University of Melbourne
David R. Fox
University of Melbourne
Janet Franklin
San Diego State University
Keith Hayes
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
David A. Keith
New South Wales National Parks and Wildlife Service
William T. Langford
University of California, Santa Barbara
Per Lundberg
University of California, Santa Barbara
Georgina Mace
Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London
Bryan Manly
Deborah Mayo
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Michael A. McCarthy
University of Melbourne
Wendy Meiring
University of California, Santa Barbara
Atte Moilanen
University of Helsinki
Hugh P. Possingham
University of Queensland
Helen M. Regan
San Diego State University
Kath Rowley
Environment Protection Authority
Mary Ruckelshaus
NOAA, Northwest Fisheries Science Center
Michael Runge
US Geological Survey (USGS) Patuxent Wildlife Research Center
Aris Spanos
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Anthony Starfield
University of Minnesota
Andy Stirling
University of Sussex
Colin Thompson
University of Melbourne
Andrew Tyre
University of Nebraska, Lincoln
Peter Walley
Unknown
Robert L. Wears
University of Florida
Chris Wilcox
University of Queensland
Will G. Wilson
University of California, Santa Barbara
Brendan Wintle
University of Melbourne

Products

  1. Presentations / 2003

    Population viability analyses and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory

  2. Presentations / 2004

    Dealing with uncertainty and making better decisions for orange-bellied parrots and Sumatran rhinos, 23 June 2004

  3. Presentations / 2004

    Information-gap decision theory: Applications in conservation biology, 23 October 2004

  4. Journal Article / 2004

    Population viability analysis and robust decisions for management: Combining population models with decision theory

  5. Presentations / 2004

    Robust decisions for species conservation: Satisficing under uncertainty (Keynote Address)

  6. Presentations / 2004

    Uncertainty in expert judgments in ecological risk assessments, 3 August 2004

  7. Book / 2005

    Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management

  8. Journal Article / 2004

    Combining population viability analysis with decision analysis

  9. Journal Article / 2004

    Statistical reform in medicine, psychology and ecology

  10. Journal Article / 2006

    Planning for robust reserve networks using uncertainty analysis

  11. Presentations / 2004

    Robustness and risk trade-offs in management decisions for endangered species

  12. Journal Article / 2005

    Robust decision-making under severe uncertainty for conservation management

  13. Presentations / 2005

    Robust decision making under uncertainty for environmental management, 20 January 2005