NCEAS Working Groups
Models of alternative management policies for marine ecosystems
Project Description
We are employing comparative approaches based on a common modeling framework developed for each of five large marine ecosystems in the North Pacific Ocean. Each of these ecosystems has served as the focus of controversy over the ecological consequences of fishery management practices, protection for threatened or endangered species, and the relative importance of large-scale environmental variability. Each of these ecosystems has been the focus of model development effort using the common framework of an Ecopath/Ecosim approach. We are using these five models as the basis for evaluating policy effects on ecosystem structure, clarifying the tradeoffs in fishery and conservation goals, and designing robust management strategies. We have also created novel ways of visualizing complex ecosystem models, as a way to make them more accessible to policy makers. Our efforts are supported by the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.
Principal Investigator(s)
Robert C. Francis, James F. Kitchell
Project Dates
Start: November 1, 2001
End: November 1, 2003
completed
Participants
- Kerim Aydin
- University of Washington
- Christofer H. Boggs
- NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
- Villy Christensen
- University of British Columbia
- Sean P. Cox
- University of Wisconsin
- Larry B. Crowder
- Duke University
- Michael Dalton
- California State University, Monterey Bay
- Timothy E. Essington
- University of Washington
- John Field
- NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
- Dave Fluharty
- University of Washington
- Robert C. Francis
- University of Washington
- Sarah Gaichas
- University of Washington
- Jefferson Hinke
- University of Wisconsin
- Isaac C. Kaplan
- NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
- James F. Kitchell
- University of Wisconsin, Madison
- Jodie Little
- University of Washington
- Steve J.D. Martell
- University of British Columbia
- Russell Nelson
- Nelson Resources Consulting, Incorporated
- Robert J. Olson
- InterAmerican Tropical Tuna Commission
- Michael Orbach
- Duke University
- Jeffrey Polovina
- NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
- Samuel Pooley
- NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
- Carl J. Walters
- University of British Columbia
- George Watters
- Pacific Fisheries Environmental Laboratory
Products
-
Journal Article / 2004
Ecopath with Ecosim: Methods, capabilities and limitations
-
Journal Article / 2004
Trade-offs in ecosystem-scale optimization of fisheries management policies
-
Presentations / 2005
Decision tools for ecosystem based management of fisheries, 14-18 February 2005
-
Journal Article / 2002
Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952-1998. I. Estimating population biomass and recruitment of tunas and billfishes
-
Journal Article / 2002
Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952-1998. II. A preliminary assessment of the trophic impacts of fishing and effects on tuna dynamics
-
Presentations / 2000
Ecological consequences of alternative fisheries: Examples from yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) in the Pacific Ocean
-
Journal Article / 2001
The precautionary approach in fisheries management: The devil is in the details
-
Journal Article / 2002
Alternative fisheries and the predation rate of yellowfin tuna in the eastern Pacific Ocean
-
Journal Article / 2004
Getting the right answer from the wrong model: Evaluating the sensitivity of multispecies fisheries advice to uncertain species interactions
-
Journal Article / 2004
Predator-dependent functional responses and interaction strengths in a natural food web
-
Journal Article / 2006
Fishing through marine food webs
-
Book Chapter / 2006
Pelagic ecosystem response to a century of commerical fishing and whaling
-
Presentations / 2001
Comparative modeling approaches for exploited marine ecosystems in the Northeast Pacific, 11-12 December 2001
-
Presentations / 2002
Ecosystem modeling in the Northern California Current
-
Presentations / 2003
Ecosystem modeling and management in the Northern California Current, 18 February 2003
-
Presentations / 2003
Ecosystem modeling in the Northern California Current, 28 February 2003
-
Presentations / 2003
Ecosystem models of the Northeast Pacific
-
Presentations / 2003
Modeling Northeast Pacific ecosystems
-
Dissertation or Thesis / 2004
Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the northern California Current
-
Presentations / 2004
Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking fisheries-based multispecies models with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current
-
Journal Article / 2006
Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current
-
Journal Article / 2006
Top-down modeling and bottom-up dynamics: Linking a fisheries-based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current
-
Presentations / 2002
Ecosystem modeling and management in the Northern California Current, 28 October 2002
-
Journal Article / 2003
A web of small tensions
-
Presentations / 2003
Climate and salmon: Some thoughts from outside the box
-
Presentations / 2002
Development of Ecosim applications in the North Pacific
-
Presentations / 2002
Ecosystem modeling in the Gulf of Alaska with implications for fisheries management, 19-21 August 2002
-
Presentations / 2002
The sum of the parts equals?: Stabs at ecosystem modeling in the Gulf of Alaska
-
Presentations / 2003
Predation by groundfish in the Gulf of Alaska: A thermodynamically challenged system?
-
Journal Article / 2010
Using food web model results to inform stock assessment estimates of mortality and production for ecosystem-based fisheries management
-
Presentations / 2002
Pelagic marine food web responses to fisheries management scenarios: A modeling exercise
-
Presentations / 2003
Comparing fishery effects on the pelagic food webs in the Pacific
-
Journal Article / 2004
Visualizing the food-web effects of fishing for tunas in the Pacific Ocean
-
Report or White Paper / 1999
IATTC Working Subgroup on Ecological Studies and Modeling
-
Report or White Paper / 2000
IATTC Bycatch Working Group, Chairman's Report
-
Presentations / 2002
Ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific (1952-1998): Comparison of single- and multi-species approaches
-
Presentations / 2002
Fishery effects on pelagic foodwebs in the Pacific: Application of an ecosystem model
-
Journal Article / 2003
Book Review: Monitoring ecosystems: Interdisciplinary approaches for evaluating ecoregional initiatives (2003, Busch, D. E., and J. C. Trexler, eds)
-
Presentations / 2004
A very preliminary risk assessment for Pacific leatherback turtles
-
Dissertation or Thesis / 2004
Ecosystem modeling of marine populations
-
Presentations / 2004
State space models for yellowfin tuna catch-effort data
-
Presentations / 2004
State space models for yellowfin tuna catch-effort data
-
Journal Article / 2005
A risk assessment for Pacific leatherback turtles (Dermochelys coriacea)
-
Journal Article / 2000
Sustainability of the Lake Superior fish community: Interactions in a food web context
-
Presentations / 2001
Fisheries and food webs in an ecosystem context
-
Presentations / 2001
Fisheries and food webs in an ecosystem context
-
Presentations / 2001
Topic: Marine management, May 2001
-
Presentations / 2001
Topic: Marine management, November 2001
-
Presentations / 2001
Topic: Marine management, October 2001
-
Journal Article / 2002
The role of sharks and longline fisheries in a pelagic ecosystem of the central Pacific
-
Presentations / 2002
Topic: Marine management, February 2002
-
Journal Article / 2004
Ecological and economic components of alternative fishing methods to reduce bycatch of marlin in a tropical pelagic ecosystem
-
Journal Article / 2006
Billfishes in an ecosystem context
-
Journal Article / 2007
Finding your ecosystem episteme
-
Journal Article / 2005
Should ecosystem management involve active control of species abundances?
-
Presentations / 2002
Effects of climate change on marine population abundance, and consequences for fisheries management
-
Journal Article / 2005
Interactions of productivity, predation risk, and fishing effort in the efficacy of marine protected areas for the central Pacific
-
Journal Article / 2005
A unified treatment of top-down and bottom-up control of reproduction in populations
-
Presentations / 1999
An ecosystem model for the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean: Review of progress
-
Presentations / 2001
Interactive effects of climate and fishing on the eastern tropical Pacific pelagic ecosystem
-
Report or White Paper / 2002
Interactive effects of climate variability and fishing: A modelling analysis for the eastern tropical Pacific pelagic ecosystem
-
Presentations / 2002
The pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean: A modeling approach
-
Journal Article / 2003
A model of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean
-
Journal Article / 2002
Sharks and tunas: Fisheries impacts on predators with contrasting life histories
-
Journal Article / 2004
Modelling stock dynamics in the southern Benguela ecosystem for the period 1978-2002
-
Journal Article / 2000
Representing density dependent consequences of life history strategies in aquatic ecosystems: EcoSim II
-
Journal Article / 2001
Cultivation/depensation effects on juvenile survival and recruitment: Implications for the theory of fishing
-
Presentations / 2001
Topic: Marine management, 11 November 2001
-
Presentations / 2002
Topic: Marine management, 12 April 2002
-
Presentations / 2002
Topic: Marine management, 15 March 2002
-
Presentations / 2002
Topic: Marine management, 26 April 2002
-
Journal Article / 2003
Folly and fantasy in the analysis of spatial catch rate data
-
Presentations / 2004
Ecosystem structure erosion under myopic management
-
Book / 2004
Fisheries Ecology and Management
-
Journal Article / 2004
Simple representation of the dynamics of biomass error propagation for stock assessment models
-
Journal Article / 2005
Exploratory assessment of historical recruitment patterns using relative abundance and catch data
-
Journal Article / 2005
Possible ecosystem impacts of applying MSY policies from single-species assessment
-
Presentations / 2002
EwE model developed for the Eastern Tropical Pacific: How an ecosystem model can be used to quantify and understand tradeoffs between fishing gears
-
Presentations / 2002
Fitting an Ecosim model to simulated data: Various issues involved with trying to estimate parameters in an ecosystem modeling context
-
Presentations / 2002
Tradeoffs and tuna fisheries in the eastern tropical Pacific
-
Journal Article / 2003
Physical forcing and the dynamics of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific: Simulations with ENSO-scale and global-warming climate drivers