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National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

Project Description

We are employing comparative approaches based on a common modeling framework developed for each of five large marine ecosystems in the North Pacific Ocean. Each of these ecosystems has served as the focus of controversy over the ecological consequences of fishery management practices, protection for threatened or endangered species, and the relative importance of large-scale environmental variability. Each of these ecosystems has been the focus of model development effort using the common framework of an Ecopath/Ecosim approach. We are using these five models as the basis for evaluating policy effects on ecosystem structure, clarifying the tradeoffs in fishery and conservation goals, and designing robust management strategies. We have also created novel ways of visualizing complex ecosystem models, as a way to make them more accessible to policy makers. Our efforts are supported by the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.
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Working Group Participants

Principal Investigator(s)

Robert C. Francis, James F. Kitchell

Project Dates

Start: November 1, 2001

End: November 1, 2003

completed

Participants

Kerim Aydin
University of Washington
Christofer H. Boggs
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Villy Christensen
University of British Columbia
Sean P. Cox
University of Wisconsin
Larry B. Crowder
Duke University
Michael Dalton
California State University, Monterey Bay
Timothy E. Essington
University of Washington
John Field
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Dave Fluharty
University of Washington
Robert C. Francis
University of Washington
Sarah Gaichas
University of Washington
Jefferson Hinke
University of Wisconsin
Isaac C. Kaplan
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
James F. Kitchell
University of Wisconsin, Madison
Jodie Little
University of Washington
Steve J.D. Martell
University of British Columbia
Russell Nelson
Nelson Resources Consulting, Incorporated
Robert J. Olson
InterAmerican Tropical Tuna Commission
Michael Orbach
Duke University
Jeffrey Polovina
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Samuel Pooley
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Carl J. Walters
University of British Columbia
George Watters
Pacific Fisheries Environmental Laboratory

Products

  1. Journal Article / 2004

    Ecopath with Ecosim: Methods, capabilities and limitations

  2. Journal Article / 2004

    Trade-offs in ecosystem-scale optimization of fisheries management policies

  3. Presentations / 2005

    Decision tools for ecosystem based management of fisheries, 14-18 February 2005

  4. Journal Article / 2002

    Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952-1998. I. Estimating population biomass and recruitment of tunas and billfishes

  5. Journal Article / 2002

    Reconstructing ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific Ocean, 1952-1998. II. A preliminary assessment of the trophic impacts of fishing and effects on tuna dynamics

  6. Presentations / 2000

    Ecological consequences of alternative fisheries: Examples from yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) in the Pacific Ocean

  7. Journal Article / 2001

    The precautionary approach in fisheries management: The devil is in the details

  8. Journal Article / 2002

    Alternative fisheries and the predation rate of yellowfin tuna in the eastern Pacific Ocean

  9. Journal Article / 2004

    Getting the right answer from the wrong model: Evaluating the sensitivity of multispecies fisheries advice to uncertain species interactions

  10. Journal Article / 2004

    Predator-dependent functional responses and interaction strengths in a natural food web

  11. Journal Article / 2006

    Fishing through marine food webs

  12. Book Chapter / 2006

    Pelagic ecosystem response to a century of commerical fishing and whaling

  13. Presentations / 2001

    Comparative modeling approaches for exploited marine ecosystems in the Northeast Pacific, 11-12 December 2001

  14. Presentations / 2002

    Ecosystem modeling in the Northern California Current

  15. Presentations / 2003

    Ecosystem modeling and management in the Northern California Current, 18 February 2003

  16. Presentations / 2003

    Ecosystem modeling in the Northern California Current, 28 February 2003

  17. Presentations / 2003

    Ecosystem models of the Northeast Pacific

  18. Presentations / 2003

    Modeling Northeast Pacific ecosystems

  19. Dissertation or Thesis / 2004

    Application of ecosystem-based fishery management approaches in the northern California Current

  20. Presentations / 2004

    Top down modeling and bottom up dynamics: Linking fisheries-based multispecies models with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current

  21. Journal Article / 2006

    Considering ecosystem-based fisheries management in the California Current

  22. Journal Article / 2006

    Top-down modeling and bottom-up dynamics: Linking a fisheries-based ecosystem model with climate hypotheses in the Northern California Current

  23. Presentations / 2002

    Ecosystem modeling and management in the Northern California Current, 28 October 2002

  24. Journal Article / 2003

    A web of small tensions

  25. Presentations / 2003

    Climate and salmon: Some thoughts from outside the box

  26. Presentations / 2002

    Development of Ecosim applications in the North Pacific

  27. Presentations / 2002

    Ecosystem modeling in the Gulf of Alaska with implications for fisheries management, 19-21 August 2002

  28. Presentations / 2002

    The sum of the parts equals?: Stabs at ecosystem modeling in the Gulf of Alaska

  29. Presentations / 2003

    Predation by groundfish in the Gulf of Alaska: A thermodynamically challenged system?

  30. Journal Article / 2010

    Using food web model results to inform stock assessment estimates of mortality and production for ecosystem-based fisheries management

  31. Presentations / 2002

    Pelagic marine food web responses to fisheries management scenarios: A modeling exercise

  32. Presentations / 2003

    Comparing fishery effects on the pelagic food webs in the Pacific

  33. Journal Article / 2004

    Visualizing the food-web effects of fishing for tunas in the Pacific Ocean

  34. Report or White Paper / 1999

    IATTC Working Subgroup on Ecological Studies and Modeling

  35. Report or White Paper / 2000

    IATTC Bycatch Working Group, Chairman's Report

  36. Presentations / 2002

    Ecosystem dynamics in the central Pacific (1952-1998): Comparison of single- and multi-species approaches

  37. Presentations / 2002

    Fishery effects on pelagic foodwebs in the Pacific: Application of an ecosystem model

  38. Journal Article / 2003

    Book Review: Monitoring ecosystems: Interdisciplinary approaches for evaluating ecoregional initiatives (2003, Busch, D. E., and J. C. Trexler, eds)

  39. Presentations / 2004

    A very preliminary risk assessment for Pacific leatherback turtles

  40. Dissertation or Thesis / 2004

    Ecosystem modeling of marine populations

  41. Presentations / 2004

    State space models for yellowfin tuna catch-effort data

  42. Presentations / 2004

    State space models for yellowfin tuna catch-effort data

  43. Journal Article / 2005

    A risk assessment for Pacific leatherback turtles (Dermochelys coriacea)

  44. Journal Article / 2000

    Sustainability of the Lake Superior fish community: Interactions in a food web context

  45. Presentations / 2001

    Fisheries and food webs in an ecosystem context

  46. Presentations / 2001

    Fisheries and food webs in an ecosystem context

  47. Presentations / 2001

    Topic: Marine management, May 2001

  48. Presentations / 2001

    Topic: Marine management, November 2001

  49. Presentations / 2001

    Topic: Marine management, October 2001

  50. Journal Article / 2002

    The role of sharks and longline fisheries in a pelagic ecosystem of the central Pacific

  51. Presentations / 2002

    Topic: Marine management, February 2002

  52. Journal Article / 2004

    Ecological and economic components of alternative fishing methods to reduce bycatch of marlin in a tropical pelagic ecosystem

  53. Journal Article / 2006

    Billfishes in an ecosystem context

  54. Journal Article / 2007

    Finding your ecosystem episteme

  55. Journal Article / 2005

    Should ecosystem management involve active control of species abundances?

  56. Presentations / 2002

    Effects of climate change on marine population abundance, and consequences for fisheries management

  57. Journal Article / 2005

    Interactions of productivity, predation risk, and fishing effort in the efficacy of marine protected areas for the central Pacific

  58. Journal Article / 2005

    A unified treatment of top-down and bottom-up control of reproduction in populations

  59. Presentations / 1999

    An ecosystem model for the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean: Review of progress

  60. Presentations / 2001

    Interactive effects of climate and fishing on the eastern tropical Pacific pelagic ecosystem

  61. Report or White Paper / 2002

    Interactive effects of climate variability and fishing: A modelling analysis for the eastern tropical Pacific pelagic ecosystem

  62. Presentations / 2002

    The pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean: A modeling approach

  63. Journal Article / 2003

    A model of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean

  64. Journal Article / 2002

    Sharks and tunas: Fisheries impacts on predators with contrasting life histories

  65. Journal Article / 2004

    Modelling stock dynamics in the southern Benguela ecosystem for the period 1978-2002

  66. Journal Article / 2000

    Representing density dependent consequences of life history strategies in aquatic ecosystems: EcoSim II

  67. Journal Article / 2001

    Cultivation/depensation effects on juvenile survival and recruitment: Implications for the theory of fishing

  68. Presentations / 2001

    Topic: Marine management, 11 November 2001

  69. Presentations / 2002

    Topic: Marine management, 12 April 2002

  70. Presentations / 2002

    Topic: Marine management, 15 March 2002

  71. Presentations / 2002

    Topic: Marine management, 26 April 2002

  72. Journal Article / 2003

    Folly and fantasy in the analysis of spatial catch rate data

  73. Presentations / 2004

    Ecosystem structure erosion under myopic management

  74. Book / 2004

    Fisheries Ecology and Management

  75. Journal Article / 2004

    Simple representation of the dynamics of biomass error propagation for stock assessment models

  76. Journal Article / 2005

    Exploratory assessment of historical recruitment patterns using relative abundance and catch data

  77. Journal Article / 2005

    Possible ecosystem impacts of applying MSY policies from single-species assessment

  78. Presentations / 2002

    EwE model developed for the Eastern Tropical Pacific: How an ecosystem model can be used to quantify and understand tradeoffs between fishing gears

  79. Presentations / 2002

    Fitting an Ecosim model to simulated data: Various issues involved with trying to estimate parameters in an ecosystem modeling context

  80. Presentations / 2002

    Tradeoffs and tuna fisheries in the eastern tropical Pacific

  81. Journal Article / 2003

    Physical forcing and the dynamics of the pelagic ecosystem in the eastern tropical Pacific: Simulations with ENSO-scale and global-warming climate drivers