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National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis

Project Description

This working group will develop monitoring programs that can identify changes in populations of Pacific salmon and attribute those changes to different potential mechanisms, including climatic change. Analyses of data from such programs will (1) document changes in salmon populations, (2) provide empirical data to compare with previous predictions, (3)inform evaluation of alternative hypotheses about mechanisms by which climate change affects salmon, and (4) inform suggested actions to maintain wild Pacific salmon populations over the long term. The group will develop guidelines for identifying an appropriate monitoring design given both budget constraints and location-specific concerns about the response of Pacific salmon to climate change. These guidelines will be applied to several illustrative situations. Further, the group will explore the consequences of deviating from the “best” design for a given situation, which will facilitate quantification of tradeoffs among monitoring programs.

Principal Investigator(s)

Randall M. Peterman

Project Dates

Start: March 10, 2008

End: March 4, 2010



Pete Adams
NOAA, National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
Douglas Drake
Oregon Department of Environmental Quality
Erica Fleishman
University of California, Santa Barbara
Harold J. Geiger
St. Hubert Research Group
Kendra R. Holt
Simon Fraser University
Chris E. Jordan
NOAA, Northwest Fisheries Science Center
David P. Larsen
Pacific States Marine Fisheries Commission
Steve Leider
Washington Governor's Salmon Recovery Office
Richard H. Lincoln
Wild Salmon Center
Anthony Olsen
US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
Chuck Parken
Fisheries and Oceans Canada
Randall M. Peterman
Simon Fraser University
Jeffrey Rodgers
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (DFW)
Michael Webster
Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation


  1. Journal Article / 2013

    Evaluating alternative methods for monitoring and estimating responses of salmon productivity in the North Pacific to future climatic change and other processes: A simulation study

  2. Journal Article / 2011

    Trade-offs between monitoring objectives and monitoring effort when classifying regional conservation status of Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.) populations

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