Recovery of overexploited marine populations has been slow, and most remain below target biomass levels. Using a global meta-analysis of overfished stocks, a NCEAS Working Group finds that resilience of those stocks subjected to moderate levels of overfishing is enhanced, not compromised, offering the possibility of swift recovery. However, prolonged intense overexploitation, especially for collapsed stocks, not only delays rebuilding but also substantially increases the uncertainty in recovery times, despite predictable influences of fishing and life history. Timely and decisive reductions in harvest rates could mitigate this uncertainty. Instead, current harvest and low biomass levels render recovery improbable for the majority of the world’s depleted stocks.
Predicted responses of transpiration to elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration (eCO2) are highly variable amongst process-based models. To better understand and constrain this variability amongst models, a NCEAS Working Group conducted an intercomparison of 11 ecosystem models applied to data from two forest free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments at Duke University and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The study yields a framework for analyzing and interpreting model predictions of transpiration responses to eCO2, and highlights key improvements to these types of models.
The first Working Group of Science for Nature and People (SNAP) takes place this week at NCEAS. “We welcome the working group participants for Western Amazonia: Balancing infrastructure Development and Conservation of Waters, Wetlands, and Fisheries, which includes international experts from Brazil’s National Institute of Amazonian Research, National University of the Peruvian Amazon, the United Nations Development Program, the MacArthur Foundation, and the founding partners – NCEAS, The Nature Conservancy and the Wildlife Conservation Society,” said Frank Davis NCEAS director and a member of SNAP’s governing board.
Interests are awakening globally to take advantage of the extensive energy, shipping, fishing, and tourism opportunities associated with diminishing sea ice in the Arctic Ocean. These environmental state-changes are generating risks of political, economic, and cultural instabilities that will affect societies at all levels—from local to international.
On August 13-14, 2013 a diverse group of more than 30 scientists from the environmental and Earth sciences are convening at NCEAS to help shape a vision for a new software institute for environmental science. Scientists will participate in one of two parallel workshops focusing on the Software Lifecycle and Software Components. Workshop leaders are Peter Fox from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Chris Mattmann from the University of Southern California, and Mark Schildhauer and Matt Jones from the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis.
NCEAS’ Matt Jones Convenes Plenary Discussion, "Envisioning a Software Institute to Accelerate Environmental Science", at the Earth Science Information Partners (ESIP) Conference. The Software Institutes for Sustained Innovation (S2I2) program, created by the National Science Foundation, is planning a new institute that can accelerate science and engineering through advances in software. Matt Jones, NCEAS' Director of Informatics, and PI of the "Institute for Sustainable Earth and Environmental Software (ISEES)" planning effort, has convened three environmentally-related software planning initiatives to present and discuss their Institute visions at the annual conference of the Federation of Earth Science Information Partners (ESIP). Video now available (session starts at 16:20)